"If familiar with this series go ahead and skip to poll. If not Mark McGwire Jersey , please read on.This series of articles will run from now until shortly before opening day. The purpose is to crowd source the D-Backs fans of this website to get a sense of how they feel about the prospects of each individual player on the 40 man roster. For this exercise I will only be using rate (average) stats and poll the readers on their sense of direction for that player’s level of basic performance, regardless of playing time expectations.I’m not including defense and base running, so no WAR here, as that is playing time dependent. You will be given two poll options:The player will either exceed the projection or under perform the projection by 5% for hitters OPS or 10% for pitchers ERA/FIP.There is no middle option to vote on. (Otherwise the majority of votes would end up agreeing with the projection).What I am looking for is if you are forced to indicate your sense of direction for the player, is it well over or under the projection?Other Points of note:Projections are the average of Steamer and ZIPS projections.(Click through for original tables)The projections draw on 3 or 4 year samples, weighting most recent seasons the heaviest, but I’m just showing 2018 and career statsin mini table below for simplicityThe player’s name is high lighted with a link to the player’s Baseball-Reference page.Click on that to see more player history and detailAge is the 2019 player age.Polls will run until mid March, so if you miss a player,you can go to the story stream box on the front page andfind a player you might have missed .Please let us know in the comments section your thoughts behind your vote. Thanks !CONTEXT MATT ANDRIESEAge 29Matt Andriese is projected for a 4.51 ERA/4.34 FIP. Is he likely to come in over or under ? Last year http://www.stlouiscardinalsteamshop.com/authentic-marcell-ozuna-jersey , season-long MLB player props went under nearly 70% of the time.Injuries accounted for a large portion of these, but even if you exclude them unders still hit at nearly a 63% rate.If you’ve been following any of my player prop picks for the upcoming season, you may have noticed something … I’m quite fond of unders. Yes, my secret is out. You caught me red-handed. But why, pray tell?2019 MLB Player Prop Mega List, More Value PicksRead nowWell, as was the case with football, MLB season-long player props went under at a very high rate last year. And I’m not talking around 55%.I’m talking about a 311-141-5 record. And, if we count ERA overs as unders since they are the negative side in terms of player performance http://www.stlouiscardinalsteamshop.com/authentic-marcell-ozuna-jersey , we get 313-139-5 — a 69.2% rate. Furthermore, every single individual category had players underperforming.Let’s think about why, though.These props all essentially assume that a player stays healthy for the vast majority of the season. As you can see, I counted up the unders that hit thanks to injuries and there were quite a few.I counted them as injuries if a player played only a small portion of the season or missed a significant amount of time聽and appeared as though he would’ve gone over or came close to the over/under had he not been injured.If you take out props impacted by injuries, unders still went 236-141-5 (62.6%).I think that the books don’t account for the fact that baseball statistics are volatile. Either that聽or they know that bettors aren’t going to account for it. They may know that these type of props frequently go under, but they like it that way because they make a profit anyway.As is the case with all types of bets, I’d expect that these overs are more popular than the unders, and perhaps by a substantial margin. Bettors like rooting for points, runs Paul DeJong Jersey , home runs, etc. on a day-by-day basis so it would make sense that they’d like rooting for them throughout the course of the season.I have only this one-year sample size to go off of, but I’d be shocked if unders don’t hit more often than overs again this year. Maybe they don’t push for 70%, but with the help of injuries, they should still reach 55%.